Tim Duer
Causeway Solutions Matrix, Prescriptive Modeling, Healthcare
January 20, 2025
Over the last two decades, many independent primary care providers (PCPs) have been acquired by larger health systems, dramatically transforming healthcare in the United States. In fact, the American Medical Association says the share of physicians employed in practices at least partially owned by hospitals or health systems rose from 23% to 31% between 2012 and 2022.
These major shifts have not only redefined U.S. healthcare operational framework, but also fundamentally altered patient care dynamics, presenting new challenges and opportunities for healthcare marketers.
For PCPs, these acquisitions have provided access to the larger resources necessary for administration and payer negotiation. Health systems aimed to enhance entry-level and preventative care options, streamlining referrals to specialty and advanced care services through a coordinated intra-system referral chain. While this trend has the potential for mutually beneficial outcomes, the results have been mixed. Coordinated care opportunities can be advantageous, yet integration presents challenges.
Many offices often operate as loss leaders, generating downstream specialty care visits that depend on consistent patient volume. The rise of alternative care options—such as telehealth, retail health, and urgent care—has led a growing number of consumers to forgo establishing a PCP.
In this context, health system marketing teams face the challenge of fostering growth in PCP offices through new patient acquisition. They must engage individuals who currently lack a PCP, typically targeting demographic segments by age (e.g., Millennials and Gen Z) or utilizing records that indicate lapsed care. However, despite these targeting strategies, the messaging often presumes that the recipient is interested in finding a PCP.
Conversely, individuals that do have a PCP of record are also grouped together as already being acquired and very little is done to consider those that may present retention challenges.
As a leader in predictive analytics that encompass not just actions but also beliefs and ideals, Causeway Solutions recognizes the value of prescriptive models that account for the multifaceted nature of consumer relationships with PCPs. We have developed innovative modeled universes that identify those least likely to have a PCP, as well as another model focusing on individuals’ beliefs regarding the necessity of having a PCP.
The result is a matrix that segments the entire U.S. national consumer database into four unique groups:
Understanding these distinct groups allows healthcare marketers to tailor their strategies effectively, ensuring that outreach efforts resonate with the unique motivations and needs of each audience. So, who are the individual consumers of these groups?
While we understand that not all consumers are the same, the limitations of segmentation prevent marketers from being able to message individuals in a voice or manner that best resonates. Through the application of predictive modeling, Causeway Solutions has created a more insightful and impactful way to segment consumers regarding PCP opportunities. These insights can inform strategic planning and marketing efforts to engage these diverse audience groups more effectively in the context of primary care services.
Not all individuals without a PCP are Millennials, and more importantly, not all of these individuals are currently interested in pursuing a PCP. Dynamic marketing teams can look to Health Independents audience to engage with other care options regarding urgent care or even direct to specialty services, rather than facing a potentially arduous challenge of getting them to a PCP’s waiting room. Conversely, the Care Seekers audience is ready and willing – but may face cultural or financial challenges that may be holding them back. What can be done to address their potential barriers?
And while 56% of U.S. consumers fall into The Loyalist audience, having a PCP and recognizing the need; 32% of individuals are Care Questioners with a PCP of record, but not feeling it’s necessary. This group needs attention and consideration; this group considers themselves to be healthy. They are ready and willing to move on to any of the emerging healthcare Disruptors that provide convenient options.
The information and insights are now available, marketing teams now need to consider how to use these expanding options to tailor campaigns to truly connect “the right message, with the right person, on the right platform, at the right time.”
By leveraging Causeway Solutions’ advanced analytics and modeling capabilities, healthcare marketers can enhance patient engagement, optimize acquisition strategies, and ultimately improve healthcare outcomes. Email [email protected] to get started.
Causeway Solutions is a leading provider of Acquisition Analytics and strategic data insights supporting successful marketing plans, business decisions, and political campaigns. Specializing in predictive and prescriptive modeling and customized audience targeting strategies, Causeway Solutions has developed billions and billions of predictions and hundreds of thousands of unique consumer, constituent, patient and voter-based audiences. Email [email protected] to learn more.
Tim Duer leads market research, audience analytics, AI and data management for healthcare clients at Causeway Solutions. As a former physical therapist and operations director of ambulatory practice at a large, multi-hospital health system, Tim uses his balanced background of hands-on clinical care and business understanding to develop novel approaches to the rapidly evolving healthcare marketplace. With experience in lean/continuous improvement and clinical-operational integration with data science and analytic capabilities Tim is uniquely qualified to help clients address what’s next in the medical landscape.
To learn more, visit Causeway Solutions to get started!